Weekly outlook

Majors, liquidity pockets, and catalyst risk

Hexon Research · 7 min read

This week starts with mixed USD positioning and shallow liquidity around the London-to-New York handoff. The goal is not to predict headlines, but to map where price is likely to overreact and where spreads expand enough to invalidate otherwise clean setups.

Desk checklist

· Mark London open imbalance zones before first entry.
· Reduce size during pre-print spread expansion windows.
· Plan invalidation level before selecting target multiples.
· Avoid new positions 10 minutes before top-tier data.

Catalyst map

Prioritize CPI commentary, labor revisions, and central-bank speakers. When volatility spikes without confirmed structure, wait for reclaim/retest behavior instead of first-touch entries.